2010 French Open Picks

By admin · Filed Under Betting, French Open, Picks 3 Comments 

If you’re interested in betting on the 2010 French Open, we recommend the Bodog Sportsbook and Bet365 Sportsbook. Bets for daily matches can be made 24/7. Odds can be viewed in decimal, fractional or American formats at either sportsbook.

Latest French Open Betting Tips

Lot’s of upsets already this year. Roger Federer just got knocked out, after an undefeated record against Robin Soderling. Venus Williams – gone. Justine Henin – gone. Caroline Wozniacki – gone. Andy Murray – gone. Fernando Verdasco – gone. Who’s next?

Despite the rough terrain, we’ll be adding some fresh picks tonight. Should be interesting.

Saturday, May 29th – Fourth Round Singles

Tips By: Jess

Venus Williams (2) vs Nadia Petrova (19): Venus has beaten Nadia all four times they’ve played, but none of that matters since the last matchup they had was back in 2007. Before that, they haven’t played against each other since 2003. So, their head-to-head record doesn’t tell us much except that each time they’ve played, Venus was too much for Petrova.

Venus is a 4/11 (1.36) favorite at Bodog and Bet365. Petrova is a 2/1 (3.00) underdog at Bodog and the same at Bet365.

Venus has been on fire this year, moving up to the #2 ranking behind her sister Serena. She’s already won two WTA singles titles this year, in Dubai (hard) and Acapulco (clay). While Acapulco wasn’t the toughest draw, it is a clay court tournament, telling us she’s had successful results.

After Acapulco, Venus made it to the finals in Miami (hard), losing to Kim Clijsters (16) in two sets. In early May, Venus was destroyed by Jelena Jankovic 6-0, 6-1 in the quarters in Rome (clay). A week later, she had a strong comeback in Spain (clay) by making to the finals, beating four players ranked in the top 22 along the way. She lost in the finals to Aravane Rezai 6-2, 7-5.

All in all, Venus has had a very successful year. Her play on the clay has been more than solid, and she’s playing fantastic tennis. She beat Dominika Cibulkova (26) in the third round (6-3, 6-4), Arantxa Parra Santonja (6-2, 6-4) in the second round, and Patty Schnyder in the first round (6-3, 6-3). She has yet to lose a set at the 2010 French Open.

In her third round match, Nadia Petrova beat Aravane Rezai (15) in a grueling three setter that ended with a 10-8 third set win. In the second round, she beat Agnes Szavay in easy fashion (6-1, 6-2), and Shuai Zhang in the first round (6-0, 6-3).

Petrova made it to the quarters at the Aussie Open (hard), beating Kim Clijsters and Svetlana Kuznetsova before losing to Justine Henin in a tight match. While it was a great run for Petrova, it was not on clay.

Her clay season has been about par for the course, beating players she’s supposed to beat. The one bright spot of her clay season comes from a three set win over Serena Williams in Madrid. Aside from that, she hasn’t pulled off any results that tell us she’s ready to beat Venus in this match. She’s lost in the quarter finals in the last three clay court tournaments she’s played this year, twice losing to lower ranked players.

My Pick: Venus Williams in three sets. Petrova should put up a fight and I think she’ll be the first to win a set off of Venus this year. However, Venus is playing really well right now, and has the track record & confidence that should propel her beyond this match and into the next round.

I’ll also cover this with a smaller bet on the 11/2 set betting odds at Bet365 for Petrova to win in three sets. If she ends up winning, I don’t see her doing it in two sets, so this looks very attractive. Beware of the risk here though. If Petrova wins it in two sets, you could take a big loss. This betting style is not for everyone, please keep that in mind before following this tip.

To Bet on Venus:

Get 4/11 (1.36) at Bodog or Bet365.

To Bet on Petrova:

Get 2/1 (3.00) at Bodog or Bet365.

Underdog Pick

Maria Kirilenko (30) has a way of surprising us. Against Francesca Schiavone (17), an opponent she’s 1-3 against in her career, Kirilenko is a 9/5 (2.80) dog at Bodog and 7/4 (2.75) at Bet365. Schiavone is a 2/5 (1.40) favorite at Bodog and Bet365. While Kirilenko is 1-3 against Schiavone in her career, she’s 1-1 against her since 2009.

At the Australian Open earlier this year, Kirilenko beat Maria Sharapova (14) and Dinara Safina (2) before losing to Jie Zheng (35) in the quarter finals. Earlier this month, Maria beat Svetlana Kuznetsova (5) and Dominika Cibulkova (28) on clay in Rome, on her way to a loss against Serena Williams (1) in the quarters.

A couple of days ago, in her third round match against Svetlana Kuznetsova (6), Maria took it in three sets: 6-3, 2-6, 6-4. This should provide confidence for Maria in her upcoming match against Schiavone.

When Kirilenko gets hot, she can upset players better than Schiavone, and right now, she is hot. I’m not going so far as to say that Kirilenko will win, but I’m saying that at these odds, this is a very intriguing bet. She seems to step up her game when playing higher ranked opponents, and she likely sees this match as a stepping stone into the top 20. While she’s never made it past the 3rd round at the French, I think her desire to win this match will be very high. On a given day, Maria can beat most of the top 20 players in the world.

For my betting money, I’m going with Kirilenko to win, knowing it could go either way. In my opinion, she has a better shot to win than the odds reflect.

Obviously with this bet I’m looking for a big win. If Kirilenko wins it, I don’t see her doing it in 2 sets. I have to give Schiavone one set for sure. Because of that, I’ll also be taking the 5/1 set betting odds at Bet365 for Kirilenko.

More fourth round singles tips will be posted within a couple of hours. Come on back!

Wednesday, May 26th – Second Round Singles

Tips By: Jess

Olivier Rochus vs Julian Reister: The odds are reflecting a closer match than I think we’ll see. While it could be a tough match, I expect Rochus to take it. His experience and good clay court skills translates into him beating an opponent he should beat. At 5/7 at Bodog, and 4/6 at Bet365, I really like this bet.

Rochus beat Soderling a couple weeks ago on the clay courts in Nice, plus wins against Djokovic, Gasquet, and Simon earlier in the year. Reister finally beat his first top 100 player (Feliciano Lopez) in the first round here at the French.

Rochus is better on the clay and has confidence coming into this match. Reister may feel he’s freerolling at this point (taking the pressure away), but I expect Rochus to take care of business and take this match in 3 sets.

Rochus odds at Bodog: 5/7 (1.71)
Rochus odds at Bet365: 4/6 (1.66)
Rochus odds at Bookmaker: 1.74

If you prefer Reister, here are his odds:

Reister odds at Bodog: 1/1 (2.00)
Reister odds at Bet365: 11/10 (2.10)
Reister odds at Bookmaker: 21/20 (1.05)

Gael Monfils vs Fabio Fognini: Gael Monfils is a superior clay court player who should easily beat Fognini. Monfils is 4-2 on clay this year, and 48-32 in his career. Fognini has a 2010 clay court record of 4-9 and 38-42 for his career. Fognini hasn’t beaten a top 50 player all year, and has an overall 2010 record of 5-14.

Barring a huge disaster, Monfils should win this match handily.

Monfils odds at Bodog: 2/13 (1.15)
Monfils odds at Bet365: 1/9 (1.11)
Monfils odds at Bookmaker: 1/9 (1.11)

More tips will be posted shortly.

French Open Outright Picks

Men’s Singles

Wes Says – On the men’s side, I am going with the safe bet in Rafael Nadal. He wasn’t in great form in 2009 but he’s come back with a vengeance in 2010. The odds of him winning are high and the payouts aren’t too bad, all things considered. Everyone is probably thinking the same thing so the odds aren’t the greatest but Nadal is just so dominant that this really isn’t a bad bet at all.

Rafael Nadal Odds at Bet365: 4/11

If you decide to go with Rafael Nadal this year, Bet365 is your best bet. There’s no such thing as a lock but this is the closest you’ll get. Even though Nadal had a home court advantage, his win over Federer in the 2010 Madrid Open shows he’s playing in top form. After four straight wins at the French (2005-2008), the 2009 title went to Roger Federer. Nadal looks to regain his winning ways this year, and I expect he will.

2010 French Open Matchup Picks

Benoit Paire vs. Olivier Rochus – Wes says: Paire is receiving 33/20 (or 2.65) at Bodog, which is great value for this underdog. He performed great in the qualifiers and has a home court advantage. With a wild crowd backing him and recent wins boosting his confidence, Paire is your best French Open underdog.

Paire Odds at Bodog: 33/20 or 2.65

Andy Murray vs. Richard Gasquet – Wes says: Gasquet is hungry for a title in front of his home crowd but he’s never made it past the third round in such situations. He’s had a few off-court distractions (cocaine, anyone?) but his form has improved in recent matches. His win at the Nice open showed he has what it takes to win but there are two major problems:

  1. Gasquet is going to play a tough opponent just days after finishing a grueling tournament in Nice
  2. Gasquet just asked for a postponement of his first match against Murray due to a leg injury – but did not receive the requested postponement

Andy Murray is all over the place this year but he’s an undeniably talented player and just as hungry for his first crown. Andy is in great form, is well rested and injury free. Hurry up and get your bets in on Andy Murray before the bookmakers catch up.

Murray Odds at Bodog: 1/2

Murray Odds at Bet365: 2/5

Paolo Lorenzi vs. Andreas Beck – Wes says: Paolo Lorenzi represents a great underdog bet. He’s showing 3/2 at Bodog but his recent record on clay is impressive. In just the last few weeks, Lorenzi has posted a 7-3 record on clay courts. The most impressive of these victories is his win over #31 ranked Albert Montanes in Rome on April 25th.

Andreas Beck has a 4-6 record in his last 10 clay court matches but in his defense, he has faced considerably tougher competition. Beck is ranked a little higher than Lorenzi and has the advantage of youth, but his recent performances indicate a trend that could be due to more than just difficult competition. In any case, these recent losses cannot be good for his mentality.

Beck is a strong player and still the favorite in this matchup, but I don’t think he’s as big a favorite as the odds indicate. Beck has won the last two matchups against Lorenzi but those were not on clay courts. The last time they played on clay was in 2003 and Lorenzi won that match. It’s been a long time since then, but I think Lorenzi has a strong fighting chance.

Lorenzi Odds at Bodog: 3/2

Lorenzi Odds at Bet365: 11/8

Best odds for your money: Bodog

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3 Responses to “2010 French Open Picks”

  1. Nick says:

    I can’t see anyone other than Nadal winning the mens. You can never write off a champion like Federer, but one of those two will win this year.

    As for the women, it’s a much more open affair. The Williams sisters always life for the Grand Slams, Henin is returning who has been highly successful in years gone by and the rest of the field isn’t far behind.

    I’m going to hold off on my bets until I see a bit more of how they’re playing… if I had to choose now though I’d be putting my money on Henin.

    I have my doubts though as to whether she can hold up with the lack of match practice. My problem is I can’t confidently pick anyone else, so for now she’s my pick.

  2. admin says:

    Javier – Yes, womens tips are coming tonight. I like your picks btw. GL!

  3. Javier says:

    Been some pretty big upsets already this year. I’ve got Stosur, Henin and Petrova tomorrow. Gonna get some women up here tonight?

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